The Los Angeles Lakers travel to Arizona on Sunday night to take on the Phoenix Suns. It’s time to continue our NBA odds series and provide a prediction and tip for the Lakers-Sans game.
The Lakers’ overall record is 28-14, but 21-21 against the spread. They lose to the Atlanta Hawks, where they lost LeBron James to an ankle injury.
The Suns and ATS have an identical overall record of 27-13. Phoenix is coming off a win over the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Here’s how bettors determine the odds for the Lakers-Sanz opener.
Paris NBA : Lakers – solar panels
Los Angeles Lakers +10 (-113)
Phoenix Suns -10 (-107)
Over 214.5 TCP (-110)
Below 214.5 PTC (-110)
Why the Lakers can close the gap on.
The Lakers will likely be without a starter in this game with LeBron James, Anthony Davis and Marc Gasol, unless Gasol makes a surprise return.
Without these key players on offense, the Lakers will rely on their six and a determined team performance on defense.
James and Davis are the Lakers’ top scorers, but Montrezl Harrell and Dennis Schroeder are third and fourth. The good news for Lakers fans is that Harrell has done a good job lately.
After the All-Star break, Harrell averaged 19.8 points and 7.8 rebounds on 70 percent shooting from the field. He was the Lakers’ leading scorer against the Hawks and was the leading offensive scorer after LeBron fouled out.
Against a stubborn Suns defense, the Lakers will need another crazy night from their big man.
Defensively, the Lakers are the second highest scoring team in the league. With all these failures, there will be a dip, but the team will still have to fight in this area.
Phoenix scores just over a third of its points beyond the arc, which ranks 13th in the NBA. They will likely win the battle in the paint, but if LA can limit the damage from the perimeter, they can stay in the game.
Why the Suns could bridge the gap of
The Suns are one of the hottest teams in the league, both online and against the spread. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games in both categories.
Phoenix is also doing well with double-digit spreads. They covered three of the four times they were ahead by 10 points or more.
The Suns have played excellent defense all season, and they don’t have Davis or James to worry about right now.
Offensively, Phoenix is one of the most efficient teams in the league. They are second in field goal percentage and fifth in three-point percentage. The Sun scored no less than 110 points in March. The Lakers have done it in three of their last seven games.
As good as the Lakers’ defense is, the Suns’ offensive attack is too versatile to be completely shut down. Phoenix has seven players averaging double digits, and it’s a safe bet that at least four of them will reach that number.
One player of particular interest to Phoenix is Deandre Ayton. Ayton should have a field day against key players missing from the frontcourt.
The Suns’ defense should slow the Lakers down considerably, and their offense will produce enough to secure the win.
Lakers – Sunshine Forecast and Select
The most likely scenario in this game is that the Lakers’ offense goes through at least one dip and the Suns take advantage of it. I don’t see a scenario where LA can keep up with Phoenix offensively, and the Suns need to win quickly against the undermanned Lakers. I bet Phoenix continues their dominance against spreads by double digits and will win this game easily.
THE LAST ONE IS FOR LIKE-MINDED PEOPLE: PHOENIX SUNS -10
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