Let’s leave aside for a moment that we know some early goalies will cool down, some players will warm up, and injuries will occur: Let’s see how many fine points some of our best skaters have left.
If we take a player’s Fantasy Points per Game (FPPG) and multiply it by the number of games remaining, we get the number of Fantasy Points remaining – again assuming a static progression rate (which we know is not the case).
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The skater with the most fantasy value at this stage is Joe Pavelski, but few expect him to make 44 plays with his FPPG 3.4. The next three players won’t surprise anyone, as Alex Ovechkin, Auston Matthews and Connor McDavid are next on the list.
But who’s hiding in fifth place? With a reasonable trial season to make that calculation, it’s a surprise to see Jordan Staal here. If I told you he was with the Carolina Hurricanes, you might have guessed Sebastian Aho, unless you were watching the team closely.
Averaging 3.0 FPPG in 11 games, Staal has found a rhythm with Andrei Svechnikov and Warren Fegele and has found a way to better configure the team on power plays.
With Staal at the top of the fantasy star-studded list this season, I wonder who else has such subtle values as those of the elite. I’ve tried to focus on some players who may not be among the best on their team, but who are getting fantasy points.
Rasmus Ristolainen, D, Buffalo swords: He hasn’t adopted Rasmus Dahlin’s power play or anything, but he is effectively using secondary power play time and accumulating stronger perimeter stats (hits, blocked shots) to make his Sabres the best fantasy defense yet. With 2.2 FPPG and a lot of blocking, he ranks eighth among all defenders in terms of remaining fantasy value.
2 Connected
Alec Martinez, D, Vegas Golden Knights: With Shea Theodore and Alex Pietrangelo, Martinez scores the most fantastic points. He ranks second in the NHL in blocked shots and has scored enough points and power play points this season to have a ridiculous run. These points may not be tenable because Theodore and Pietrangelo both ran out of time, but the peripheral statistics will remain.
Brian Rust, W, Pittsburgh Penguins: He leads all Penguins this season in points and much of his value comes from putting pucks in the net. He ranks 16th in the NHL for penalties and is a key player on the Penguins’ power play (though that doesn’t mean much this season).
Devon Toews, D, Colorado Avalanche: He leads the Avalanche Blue Line in the FPPG, which is a significant achievement with Cale Makar in the house. While his role is secondary (as was the case with Ristolainen and Martinez), he’s accumulating enough stats to stay in the spotlight here. I don’t expect him to finish before Makar, but he’s going to make it difficult for him.
Jean-Gabriel Pago, C, New York Islanders: Pago leads the Islanders in fantasy points and does so on all levels. He contributed to the eighth-most all-time forwards for blocked shots and scored on both special teams. In terms of remaining fantasy value, he ranks 86th in the league – just behind Roman Iosi and just ahead of John Tavares.
play
0:21
Jean-Gabriel Pago defeated Sabres goalie Linus Ullmark in a 3-1 victory for the Islanders.
Move, move
Anze Kopitar, C, Los Angeles Kings (up 21 spots to 25) : The leader of the kings is a year old himself. With 82 games, he would be able to score 107 points this season. There’s not a huge difference in lineup and usage this season, as he’s still playing with Dustin Brown and Alex Iafallo – but I think we can commend the rest of the lineup for improving and diverting the Kopitar line’s attention from opposing defenders.
Jack Hughes, C, New Jersey Devils (up 49 spots to 92) : We spent a lot of time discussing the fine points of the bench with two former fine simulators, and I think now is the time to invest in Hughes or take the leap. The Devils are playing for the first time since the 31st. January back in action. While Hughes hasn’t been a complete revelation in terms of FPPG (1.8 however and 9 games), the fact that he has 47 games left in his career this season gives him extra draft competition and makes him much more attractive to your fantasy group.
Protection in progress
Brent Burns Sharks, D, San Jose (Declining from 22 seats to 49) : He’s doing his best to hold his own with more shots on goal (but not at the same rate as Burns), but they’re just not there this season. The Sharks game is no longer a source of monster stats, and Burns’ fantasy value suffers as a result. At his current pace, he ranks 39th among remaining fantasy worthy defenders. He’s still ranked because of the Sharks’ odd start to the season (no home games until last weekend).
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Drew Doughty, D, Los Angeles Kings (up 33 spots to 65) : You can’t show Kopitar without mentioning Doughty. He is also on the verge of the best season of his career with 11 points and three goals in 13 games. He scored more than half of his points on the power play last season. He ranks third in fantasy value among defensemen – just behind Victor Hedman and just ahead of Jeff Petry.
Goalkeeper in motion
Anton Khudobin, L, Dallas Stars (34 pitches at 89) : It’s not an equal comparison, as the Stars are clearly giving Jake Ettinger the least amount of work when it comes time to start, but the fact that he and Khudobin are still tied at 1.9 FPGA and that Khudobin has only played 54% of the team’s total minutes also applies to his overall value. While the team still has an apple to pick with Nashville, Detroit, Columbus and Chicago, they also have many games ahead of them with Carolina, Tampa Bay and Florida.
Mackenzie Blackwood, L, New Jersey Devils (up 13 spots to 113) : I know we haven’t seen him in goal for almost a month (January 19), but Blackwood looked solid in his first three appearances of the season. It’s a small sample size, but I think it’s worth the risk given the Devils’ huge lead in the remaining games. A shorter list will limit his playing time a bit – which you want to compensate for with longer playing time, but for those looking to revitalize their fantasy list, I can’t think of a better business goal when it comes to value for potential reward.
New classification position
P.C. Subban (#203), Ty Smith (215), Max Comtois (219), Justin Schultz (232), James Reimer (234), Nick Foligno (235), Alex Yafallo (237), Jack Roslovic (238), Jonas Brodin (241), Justin Falk (243), Brandon Tanev (246), Evan Bouchard (248), Brock McGinn (250).
Somewhat missed
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Paul Stastny, Adam Lowry, David Savard, Ryan Donato, Ryan Johansen, Phillip Dano, Tyler Bertuzzi, Ryan Getzlaf, Pius Suter, Jayden Schwartz, Drake Baterson, Joe Thornton, Jeff Carter, Tyler Johnson, Robbie Fabbri, Jason Dickinson, Zdenon Chara, Nikita Zaitsev, Joonas Donskoi, Andreas Athanasiou.
Abandonment
Tanner Pearson, Alexis Lafrenière, Esa Lindell, Matt Grzelcyk, Jason Zucker, Anthony Duclair, Adam Henrique, Alex Killorn, Adam Boquist, Pekka Rinne, Tim Stuttles, Rickard Ruckell, Tyler Motte.
Fantasy Hockey Top 250 Ranking
1. David Pastrnak, RW, Forest (RW1)
2. Connor McDavid, C, Edm (C1)
3. Andrei Vasilevsky, G, TB (G1)
4. Austin Matthews, C, Objective (C2)
5. Alexey Ovechkin, LW, Wsh (LW1)
6. Steven Stamkos, C, TB (C3)
7. Leon Draisaitl, LW, Edm (LW2)
8. Mitchell Marner, RW, Goal (RW2)
9. Jack Eichel, C., Boothe (C4)
10. John Carlson, D, Wsh (D1)
11. Brad Marchand, LW, Forest (LW3)
12. Nathan McKinnon, C., Col. (C5)
13. Victor Hedman, D, TB (D2)
14. Patrick Kane, RW, Chi (RW3)
15. Jonathan Huberdeau, LW, Fla (LW4)
16. Patrice Bergeron, C, Forest (C6)
17. Connor Hellbake, G, Wpg (G2)
18. Artemy Panarin, LW, NYR (LW5)
19. Mark Scheifele, C, Wpg (C7)
20. Mikko Rantanen, RV, Colonel (RW4)
21. Mark Stone, RW, Vgs (RW5)
22. Sebastian Aho, C, Automotive (C8)
23. Alex Pietrangelo, D, Vgs (D3)
24. Alexander Barkov, C, Fla (C9)
25. Anze Kopitar, C, LA (C10)
26. Philip Grubauer, G, Colonel (G3)
27. Brayden Point, S, TB (C11)28. Sidney Crosby, C, Pit (C12)
29. Max Pacioretty, LW, Vgs (LW6)
30. Semyon Varlamov, G, NYI (G4)
31. John Tavares, C., Gate (C13)
32. Emmerwiel, RW, Wpg (RW6)
33. Kyle Connor, LW, Wpg (LW7)
34. Ivan Provorov, D, Phi (D4)
35. Jacob Markstrom, G, Cgy (G5)
36. Patrick Lane, RW, Cls (RW7)
37. Roman Josie, D, Nsh (D5)
38. Charlie McAvoy, D, Forest (D6)
39. Keil Makar, D, Col (D7)
40. Jeff Petrie, D, Mon (D8)
41. Nicklas Backstrom, C, Wsh (C14)
42. Andrey Svechnikov, LW, Auto (LW8)
43. Joe Pavelski, RW, Dal (RW8)
44. Jake Guentzel, LW, Pit (LW9)
45. Jordan Binnington, G, StL (G6)
46. Alex DeBrincat, LW, Chi (LW10)
47. Taylor Hall, LW, Buf (LW11)
48. Gabriel Landeskog, LW, Colonel (LW12)
49. Brent Burns, D, SJ (D9)
50. Frederik Andersen, G., Thor (G7)
51. Hamilton Arc, D, Auto (D10)
52. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, C, Edm (C15)
53. Sean Couturier, K, Fee (C16)54. Johnny Gaudreau, LW, Cgy (LW13)
55. Mika Zibanejad, C, NYR (C17)
56. Marc-André Flory, G, Vgs (G8)
57. Darnell Nurse, D, Edm (D11)
58. Jamie Benn, LW, Dal (LW14)
59. Elias Lindholm, RW, Cgy (RW9)
60. John Klingberg, D, Dahl (D12)
61. Elias Pettersson, C., Van (C18)
62. Tuukka Rask, G., Bos (G9)
63. Travis Ultimate, RW, Phi (RW10)
64. Philip Forsberg, LW, Nsh (LW15)
65. Drew Doughty, D, Los Angeles (D13)
66. Logan Couture, C, SJ (C19)
67. Carey Price, G, Mon (G10)
68. J.T. Miller, C., Wang (C20)69. Igor Shesterkin, G, NYR (G11)
70. Morgan Rilley, D, Goal (D14)
71. Thomas Chabot, D, Ott (D15)
72. Evgeny Malkin, C, Pit (C21)
73. Matthew Tkachuk, LW, Cgy (LW16)
74. Seth Jones, D, Cls (D16)
75. Matthew Barzal, C, New York (C22)
76. Brayden Schenn, C, StL (C23)
77. Aaron Ekblad, D, Fla. (D17)
78. T.J. Oshie, RW, Ush (RW11)
79. John Gibson, G., Ana (G12)
80. Tyson Barry, D, Edm (D18)
81. Adam Fox, D, New York (D19)
82. Quinn Hughes, D, Wang (D20)
83. Darcy Coomper, G., Ari (G13)
84. Kyler Yamamoto, RW, Edm (RW12)
85. Carter Hart, G., Fi (G14)
86. Patrick Hornquist, RW, Fla (RW13)
87. Ryan Ellis, D, Nsh (D21)
88. Shea Theodore, D, Vgs (D22)
89. Anton Khudobin, G, Dahl (G15)90. Chris Letang, D, Pete (D23)
91. Ilya Samsonov, G, Wsh (G16)
92. Jack Hughes, C, NJ (C24)
93. Tom Wilson, RW, Wsh (RW14)
94. Thomas Hertl, C., S.J. (C25)
95. Victor Olofsson, RW, Buf (RW15)
96. Jacob Trouba, D, New York (D24)
97. Jacob Cichrun, D, Ari (D25)
98. Ondřej Palát, LW, TB (LW17)
99. Brock Boeser, RW, Van (RW16)
100. Vincent Trocheck, C, Machine (C26)
101. Brady Tkachuk, LW, Ott (LW18)
102. Nicholas Ehlers, LW, Wpg (LW19)
103. Shea Weber, D, Mo (D26)
104. Robin Lehner, G, Vgs (G17)
105. Ryan O’Reilly, C, StL (C27)
106. Ryan Pulock, D, New York (D27)
,107. Evander Kane, LW, SJ (LW20)
,108. Rasmus Ristolainen, D, Boothe (D28)
109. Alec Martinez, D, Vgs (D29)
110. Chris Kreider, LW, NYR (LW21)
,111. Pierre-Luc Dubois, C, Wpg (C28)
112. Teuvo Teravainen, RW, Auto (RW17)
113. Mackenzie Blackwood, G, NJ (G18)
114. Tyler Toffoli, RW, Mo (RW18)
115. Brian Rast, RW, pit (RW19)
116. Nick Suzuki, C, Mo (C29)
117. Kirill Kaprizov, LW, Min (LW22)
118. Matt Dumba, D, Min (D30)
,119. Keith Yandle, D., Fla. (D31)
120. James van Riemsdyk, LW, Phi (LW23)
121. William Nylander, RW, Goal (RW20)
122. Sam Reinhart, RW, Buf (RW21)
123. Anders Lee, LW, NYI (LW24)
124. Rasmus Andersson, D, Cgy (D32)
125. Evgeny Kuznetsov, C, Wsh (C30)
126. Bo Horvath, C., Wang (C31)
127. Neil Pionk, D, Wpg (D33)
,128. Erik Karlsson, D, SJ (D34)
129. Dylan Larkin, C, Det (C32)
130. David Perron, RW, StL (RW22)
131. Roope Hintz, C, Dal (C33)
132. Ryan Souter, D, Min (D35)
133. Rasmus Dahlin, D, Boothe (D36)
134. Jake Muzzin, D, Gate (D37)
135. Joonas Korpisalo, G, Cls (G19)
136. Devon Toews, D, Col (D38)
137. Zach Werenski, D, Cls (D39)
138. Alexander Radulov, RV, Dahl (RW23)139. Sergey Bobrovsky, G, Fla (G20)
140. Oliver Björkstrand, RW, Cls (RW24)
141. Claude Giroux, LW, Phi (LW25)
142. Mikhail Sergachev, D, TB (D40)143. Oliver Ekman-Larsson, D, Ari (D41)
144. Colton Parayko, D, StL (D42)
145. Zach Paradise, LW, Min (LW26)
,146. Sean Monahan, C, Cgy (C34)
,147. Denis Gurianov, LW, Dal (LW27)
148. Torey Circle, D, StL (D43)
149. RAdm Talbot, G., Min (G21)
150. Josh Anderson, RW, ma (RW25)
.151. Jared Spurgeon, D, Min (D44)152. Mark Giordano, D, Cgy (D45)153. Cam Atkinson, RW, Cls (RW26)
154. Damon Severson, D, NJ (D46)
155. Jordan Steel, C, Automotive (C35)156. Timo Meyer, RW, SJ (RW27)
157. Dominic Kubalik, LW, Chi (LW28)
,158. Kevin Lankinen, G., Chi (G22),159. Mike Hoffman, LW, StL (LW29)
160. Carter Verhege, C, Fla (C36)
161. Jakub Voracek, RW, Phi (RW28)
162. Miro Heiskanen, D, Dal (D47)
163. Andrei Burakovsky, LW, Colonel (LW30)
164. Dustin Brown, RW, LA (RW29)
165. Kevin Fiala, C, Min (C37)
166. Jordan Eberle, RW, NYI (RW30)
167. Alexander Edler, D, Wang (D48)
168. Brendan Gallagher, RV, Mon (RW31)
169. Jakub Vrana, C, Wsh (C38)
170. Anthony Cirelli, C, TB (C39)
171. Nick Ritchie, LW, Forest (LW31)
172. Joel Farabee, LW, Phi (LW32)
173. Jaroslav Halak, G, Bos (G23)
174. Kyle Palmieri, RW, NJ (RW32)
,175. Nino Niederreiter, RW, Auto (RW33)
176. Ryan Strom, S, New York (C40),177. William Karlsson, C, Vgs (C41)
178. Ryan McDonagh, D, TB (D49)179. Samuel Girard, D, colonel (D50)180. Juus Saros, G, Nash (G24)
181. Tomas Tatar, LW, Mo (LW33)
182. Jake Allen, G., Mo (G25)
183. Viktor Arvidsson, RW, Nsh (RW34)
184. Joel Eriksson Eck, C, Min (C42)
185. Elvis Merzlikins, G, Cls (G26)
186. Conor Garland, RW, Ari (RW35)
.187. Mikael Granlund, LW, Nsh (LW34)
188. Alex Tuch, RW, Vgs (RW36)
189. Pavel Buchnevich, RW, New York (RW37)
190. Boone Jenner, C, Cls (C43)
191. Jean-Gabriel Pago, C, New York (C44)
192. Jordan Kiru, C, StL (C45)
193. Josh Norris, C, Ott (C46)
194. Christian Dvorak, LW, Ari (LW35)
195. Anthony Manta, RW, Det (RW38)
196. Kevin Hayes, C., Fi (C47)
197. Duncan Keith, D., Chi (D51)
198. Josh Morrissey, D, Wpg (D52)
199. Nazem Qadri, C, Col (C48)
200. Phil Kessel, RW, Ari (RW39)
201. Nick Schmaltz, C, Ari (C49)
202. Vladimir Tarasenko, RW, StL (RW40)
203. P.C. Subban, D., NJ (D53)
204. Blake Coleman, LW, TB (LW36)
.205. Jakob Slavin, D, Automobile (D54)
206. Petr Mrazek, G, automotive (G27)
207. Evgeny Dadonov, RW, Ott (RW41)
208. Erik Gustafsson, D, Fi (D55)
209. Max Domi, C, Cls (C50)
210. Chandler Stevenson, C, Vgs (C51)
211. Brock Nelson, C, New York (C52)
.212. Adrian Kempe, C, LA (C53)
213. Matt Duchene, C, Nsh (C54)
214. Chris Dreiger, G., Fla. (G28)
215. Ty Smith, D, NJ (D56)
216. Paul Francuse, G., Col. (G29)
217. Tyler Myers, D., Van (D57)
,218. Scott Laughton, LW, PHI (LW37)
219. Max Comtois, LW, Ana (LW38)
220. Ryan Graves, D, Col (D58)
221. Adam Larsson, D, Edm (D59)
.222. Noah Dobson, D, New York (D60)
223. Miles Wood, LW, NJ (LW39)
224. Mikko Koskinen, G, Edm (G30)
225. Antti Raanta, G., Ari (G31)
226. Jonathan Marchessault, LW, Vgs (LW40)
227. Clayton Keller, C, Ari (C55)
228. Brian Elliott, G., Fi (G32)
,229. Andrew Kopp, C, Wpg (C56)
230. Jordan Greenway, LW, Min (LW41)
231. Calvin Petersen, G, Los Angeles (G33)
232. Justin Schultz, D, Wsh (D61)
233. Linus Ulmark, G., Boothe (G34)
234. James Reimer, L, automotive (G35)
235. Nick Foligno, LW, Cls (LW42)
236. Mikael Backlund, C, Cgy (C57)
237. Alex Iafallo, Los Angeles (LW43)
238. Jack Roslovic, C, Cls (C58)
239. Zach Hyman, LW, Goal (LW44)
240. Vince Dunn, D, StL (D62)
241. Jonas Brodin, D., Min (D63)
242. Kasperi Kapanin, RV, pit (RW42)
243. Justin Falk, D, StL (D64)
244. Martin Necas, C, Auto (C59)
245. Dylan Strom, C, Chi (C60)
246. Brandon Tanev, LW, Pit (LW45)
247. Cody Glass, C, Vgs (C61)
248. Evan Bouchard, D, Edm (D65)
249. Connor Murphy, D, Chi (D66)
.250. Brock McGinn, LW, Auto (LW46)
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