Biden has restored the blue wall of the Great Lakes, where Trump won four years ago. He also had the strongest Democratic performance in a generation in Arizona and Georgia, leading the two states by a small margin as votes are still counted there, and in Nevada, where CNN predicts a victory for Biden.
Biden, who turned 78 this month and was one of the youngest men ever elected to the Senate in 1972, is now the oldest elected president.
For his third presidential bid, Biden’s life story of overcoming personal tragedy came at a time when the nation was plunged into a health and economic crisis. He formed a coalition of colored people, suburban women, voters young and old, and enough angry independent Republicans to win points in several states where Republicans have surpassed themselves in battle.
The Democrats did not get the results they hoped for, either in the Senate or in the House of Representatives, although they led the race for control of the House of Representatives. And the party is keeping a close eye on Georgia, where one Senate match is already underway and the other could take place – on May 5 – to hold two high-level matches where Senate control is at stake.
Seven options for the results of the presidential elections in 2020 are presented below:
Biden rebuilds the blue wall
Biden’s ability to rebuild the blue wall of the industrialized countries in the Great Lakes region was not only his political argument to the Democrats to propose it. That’s the core of his personality: A candidate from a working-class family in Scranton, Pennsylvania, who for nearly five decades has never lost touch with those roots in national politics and could have brought those regions like this back into the Democratic herd.
If the voters in the party pre-election rejected the more progressive candidates and aspiring young stars, who were perhaps more in line with their political beliefs, in favor of Biden, a character hardened by the presidential and vice-presidential campaigns, it was because they believed he represented their best chance of winning.
Biden kept that promise by winning Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, according to CNN predictions – all states that had become assets four years earlier.
Biden’s campaign has focused on other battlefields of the Sunbelt and – in addition to the state victory that Hillary Clinton won four years ago – she now holds leading positions in Arizona and Georgia.
But the blue wall was his main target, and that finally confirmed his victory. Biden spent the last two days of the race in Pennsylvania and on election day returned to the former hunting grounds, including his parents’ house in Scranton.
From this house to the White House, with the grace of God, he painted on the wall of the living room.
Overtime in Georgia
The fight for control of the Senate is subject to an extension and a period of five years. On 1 January, Georgia looks set to move towards two second rounds of voting, on which the maintenance of a majority of Republicans depends.
CNN has not yet predicted the winners of the Senate elections in Alaska and North Carolina. But if there were Republican leaders in those states, there would be 48 Democrats and 50 Republicans in the Senate, which means the only chance for the Democrats to get a majority is a 50-50 split, as the vice president elected by Harris would serve as a bridge between them.
The second round of the tournament is held because of Georgia’s unique requirement that the first to finish first must receive 50 percent of the votes to win in November. Although incumbent Republican Senator David Purdue is barely ahead of his Democratic challenger John Ossoff, the presence of the Librarian in the race slightly reduced both votes and kept Purdue just under 50% if nothing changes at the last minute.
Meanwhile, the jungle primaries still seemed very likely in the special elections for another seat in the Georgian Senate. Democratic Reverend Rafael Warnock and Republican Senator Kelly Loffler were qualified.
With the greatest possible effort, the current situation will transform Georgia into a place of total political struggle, with both parties throwing everything they have into the state in terms of organisation and publicity.
Historically, Democrats in Georgia have lagged behind in the run-off, as in 2008, when Democratic candidate Jim Martin was 3 percentage points behind Republican Senator Saxby Shambliss in the parliamentary elections and lost the run-off by only 15 points. In recent years, however, the People’s Democratic candidates have come much closer to winning the second round, and thanks to the efforts of former governor candidate Stacy Abrams, the Democrats have become more competitive this year. Biden himself has razor-sharp power over Trump in the state, which has not been awarded to the Democrats since Bill Clinton in 1992.
The possibility of removing Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell from his position as leader of Kentucky should encourage Democratic financiers to invest in both races. Expect both sides to throw everything they’ve got into the sink.
Hysteria – asset
Concessions of defeated presidential candidates are an important American tradition that helps to legitimize the winner and initiate the democratic process.
However, Mr. Trump does not seem interested in playing a role in this tradition, but he tends to disrupt the process when he leaves the White House.
In talks with his allies in recent days, Trump said he has no intention of giving to Biden in the election, Kaitlan Collins of CNN said Friday morning. The helpers, including his chief of staff Mark Meadows, tried not to inform Trump, but rather fed him with the unfounded accusation that he had been stolen in the elections.
Trump’s tweets – many of which were tweeted with warnings – complained that the legal process of counting missing ballots equated to theft. His right-wing supporters in the media mobilized and multiplied misinformation about the number of votes in districts and states.
How Republicans in Congress will deal with Trump’s hysteria as they watch the bears in the coming days and weeks. By concealing its lies about electoral fraud and the counting of votes in the name of legitimacy, it could do more lasting damage to the peaceful transfer of power – if that damage is not yet irreversible.
Harris writes the story
For the first time, the United States has elected a black and South Asian woman as vice president.
Harris’ huge historical breakthrough could be temporarily lost against the backdrop of the drama of a tight vote count in several key states that lasted several days, against the backdrop of Trump’s unfounded complaints. But it will probably appear in the days, weeks and months to come, when Biden and Harris celebrate the 20th anniversary of their investiture. January is approaching.
And, as CNN’s Abby Phillip noted on the show, Trump’s political career began with a racist lie aimed at discrediting the first black president, Barack Obama. It ends now with the first black woman in the White House.
The 2020 elections were followed by the most motivated electorate in recent US history, underlining how deeply motivated the foundations of both parties are.
Biden and Trump won the first and second U.S. presidential elections in history, and many states continue to count the votes. Biden is the first candidate to receive 70 million votes, and Trump is about to cross that threshold. The turnout seems to be at its highest level since 1900, when more than 73% of eligible Americans voted.
Despite his defeat, Trump again outperformed the voters and increased the participation of his white folk voters in rural areas. Biden experienced the jumps of 2016 in urban and suburban areas.
Both parties need to gather data to determine where they have fallen behind in percentage terms compared to previous years – Trump, for example, received much more Latin American support in Miami-Dade County, Florida, a weakness that Democrats will urgently try to correct in the next election. But it’s a problem of persuasion, not mobilization. By 2020, voters on both sides were more motivated than ever before in modern history.
The big question facing Republicans today is whether this or that trump card motivated participation of white workers can be passed on to other GOP candidates or, as the party’s medium-term losses show, whether it is only trump card motivated.
No blue wave
Democrats entered the 2020 elections hoping to consolidate their gains in the middle of the term in 2018, when major reversals in their favor in the suburban areas ensured party control in the House of Representatives.
This year, Democrats had hoped to increase that majority in the House of Representatives, get a decisive majority in the Senate, and renew several state laws to give the party more votes in the district reshuffle of 2021, when the legislature will reassess the districts of Congress after the census.
In fact, by breaking the fundraising record across the board, including in Senate elections in states like South Carolina and Kentucky, the party hoped to cause some commotion on election night.
All the way down.
The Democrats keep the pressure on to lose a few seats in Parliament, but they will keep the majority. They have not received positions in the main state parliaments and some seem to have lost their position. And they saw several Senate races – including the Battle of the Tents in Maine and North Carolina – escape their grasp at the end of the day. Maine’s Republican Senator, Susan Collins, was strengthened during the Supreme Court confirmation hearing of Amy Coney Barrett. And Republican Senator Tom Tillis of North Carolina seems to be holding up after his Democratic opponent, Cal Cunningham, was involved in a sex scandal. (CNN hasn’t designed a race in North Carolina yet).
All this has led to a bitter election of the Democrats, who are happy that Trump has ended his presidency, but now have to face the debris of their failures in the polls.
The first look at this argument came on Thursday, when the Democrats appealed, with progressives and moderates expressing their disappointment at each other.
Something has gone wrong in the political world, said Cherie Bustos, president of the Illinois Congress Democratic Campaign Committee, according to sources in Manu Raju and Lauren Fox of CNN. Our polls, the Senate (Governor) polls, the presidential elections, the Republican and public polls, the voter turnout models and the forecasts all point to an unprecedented political climate. In fact, the defaulting voters look much more like 2016 than expected.
The breakthrough of the Biden solar belt is associated with ignition errors, also.
The overall result is exactly what Biden wanted: He has rebuilt the blue wall and if his current leadership can be maintained, he will be the first Democrat in a generation to win Arizona and Georgia.
Even if these tracks escape him, he’ll be closer than any Democrat since Bill Clinton. And he’s going to embarrass Trump’s campaign, who’s insisted he can’t lose either state.
I shouldn’t even be here. They say I did it in Georgia, Trump said at a meeting in Rome, Georgia, two days before the election.
But Biden has lost states where he leads in the polls and where his campaign has released huge resources in the last weeks of the race.
The two biggest losses were in Florida and North Carolina, two presidential battlegrounds where former president Barack Obama won once (North Carolina 2008) and twice (Florida).
Biden also visited Des Moines, Iowa, on the last Friday of the race and Cleveland, Ohio, on Monday – indicating that his campaign believed that both were in the game. The goat won both states.
The Biden campaign never believed the Democrats’ optimism that Texas would become a commuter state this year. She made advances and sent Harris to the state on the Friday before the election, but she never pumped as much money in Texas as was needed for a real fight, and never sent Biden there.
But the best results at the top of the voting list could help Democrats win seats in state congresses and parliaments, in a state where they hope a growing and diverse electorate will eventually swing them in its direction. None of this happened in 2020.
This story was updated by a CNN screening in Nevada.